With many analysts speculating the outcomes of the Spot Bitcoin ETF race, companion at CEHV, Adam Cochran, shares his perspective in a Nov. 8 publish on X.
From Cochran’s perspective, whereas odds are good for different ETFs, the Digital Forex Group (DCG) and extra particularly the asset administration unit Grayscale, could also be have a tricky highway forward.
Results of Genesis’ downfall
Cochran means that DCG CEO Barry Silbert’s state of affairs comes on account of the Genesis shutdown, the absence of updates concerning GBTC conversion following a court docket case, the shortage of value arbitrage alternatives on smaller trusts, ongoing discussions surrounding a possible fraud investigation, and the continuing authorized case with Gemini, all contributing to an environment of uncertainty and concern.
In a follow-up publish in his thread, Cochran goes on to share that though there stays the opportunity of acquiring a GBTC conversion, the chance of GBTC gaining approval doesn’t essentially insulate Silbert and Grayscale from broader challenges.
Cochran ends the thread questioning whether or not the ten% low cost provided is well worth the resolution to chorus from holding direct BTC whereas awaiting BlackRock’s potential approval.
Persevering with the race
Days earlier, Co-founder of Valkyrie Investments Steven McClurg shared that the SEC is able to grant approval to a number of spot Bitcoin ETF purposes in November 2023.
Within the analysis, McClurg notes that firms have successfully addressed the issues associated to market manipulation that had been raised by the regulator. Due to this fact, whereas the SEC could situation one other spherical of feedback to the entities that submitted ETF purposes within the coming one to 3 weeks, an approval of 19b-4 rule modifications is probably going shortly after.